Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
