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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
39.01% | 24.99% | 35.99% |
Both teams to score 57.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% | 45.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% | 23.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% | 57.13% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.57% | 59.42% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 35.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 49 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 46 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 43 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 41 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 33 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 32 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 30 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 28 |
12 | FC Koln | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 20 |
15 | Stuttgart | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 19 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 16 |
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