The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 29.31% | 23.61% | 47.08% |
| Both teams to score 60% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
