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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
52.22% | 21.9% | 25.87% |
Both teams to score 63.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.92% | 36.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.82% | 58.18% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% | 14.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.41% | 41.59% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% | 26.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% | 61.64% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.9% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 59 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 57 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 51 |
5 | Freiburg | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 47 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 39 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 32 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Augsburg | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Stuttgart | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 24 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 |
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