Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
