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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.07% | 23.59% | 24.33% |
Both teams to score 55.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% | 45.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% | 67.68% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% | 47.85% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.37% | 32.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% | 69.17% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 45 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 41 |
3 | Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Freiburg | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 25 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Heidenheim | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 20 |
11 | Augsburg | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 18 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 17 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 16 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 16 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 11 |
17 | FC Koln | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 11 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 10 |
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