MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 20:20:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hertha Berlin logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Schalke
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Jan 23, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at Coface Arena
Mainz 05
3 - 2
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
13.99%18.97%67.04%
Both teams to score 52.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53%40.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14%62.86%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.84%11.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.37%35.63%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 13.99%
    RB Leipzig 67.04%
    Draw 18.97%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 4.08%
2-1 @ 3.98%
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.99%
1-1 @ 8.95%
0-0 @ 4.58%
2-2 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.97%
0-2 @ 11.01%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 4.41%
1-4 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-5 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 67.04%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig

Mainz 05
14.6%
Draw
9.0%
RB Leipzig
76.4%
89
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Mainz
Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Alcaraz
Sinner
77 4 2
64 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26167376294755
2Borussia DortmundDortmund26172757352253
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin26156541281351
4Freiburg2613853935447
5RB Leipzig26136749331645
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26118747371041
7Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26124104840840
8Mainz 05Mainz2611784336740
9Wolfsburg26109746341239
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2587104044-431
11Werder Bremen2594123948-931
12Augsburg2685133447-1329
13FC Koln2569103344-1127
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum2682162857-2926
15Hoffenheim2564153345-1222
16Hertha Berlin2657143149-1822
17Schalke 04Schalke2649132148-2721
18Stuttgart2648142945-1620

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!