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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
65.92% ( -0) | 18.74% ( 0) | 15.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.6% ( -0.01) | 36.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.46% ( -0.01) | 58.54% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% | 10.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.29% ( -0.01) | 33.71% ( 0.01) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -0) | 36.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( -0) | 73.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.42% 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.97% Total : 65.92% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.74% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 15.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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