Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
