DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Mainz
0 - 4
Bayern
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern Munich
Bayern will almost certainly travel to Mainz low on confidence given their recent run of draws, which has seen their healthy lead at the top of the Bundesliga almost evaporate. However, the Bavarians are likely to have too much quality for their opponents even if Nagelsmann does rotate as expected ahead of a busy schedule, but Mainz should make their opponents work hard for their victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
14.13% ( 0.08) | 16.45% ( 0.12) | 69.42% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
