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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
84.2% | 9.58% | 6.22% |
Both teams to score 61.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
83.4% | 16.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.89% | 33.11% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.21% | 2.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.23% | 12.76% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.82% | 37.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.04% | 73.95% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.12% 4-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 6.58% 5-0 @ 5.11% 5-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.89% 1-0 @ 3.71% 4-2 @ 3.49% 6-0 @ 3.05% 6-1 @ 3.02% 5-2 @ 2.5% 7-0 @ 1.56% 7-1 @ 1.55% 6-2 @ 1.5% 4-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 5.4% Total : 84.2% | 1-1 @ 3.67% 2-2 @ 3.26% 3-3 @ 1.28% 0-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.58% | 1-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.07% 0-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.3% Total : 6.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 36 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Freiburg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 |
12 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Augsburg | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 18 |
15 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 10 |
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