MX23RW : Wednesday, April 5 02:56:15| >> :60:1629:1629:
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at WWK Arena
Augsburg
2 - 5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Pedersen (78'), Gouweleeuw (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

Given Augsburg's amount of expected absences through injury, only significant rotation from the visitors may spare them a drubbing. Bayern's squad depth may not compare to some of Europe's elite teams but it is still enviable to pretty much any team in Germany, and they should have more than enough to advance to the third round regardless of how many changes Nagelsmann makes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
8.39% (-0.057 -0.06) 13.08% (0.0030000000000001 0) 78.53% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55% (-0.333 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.53% (-0.253 -0.25)27.47% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.92% (-0.319 -0.32)48.08% (0.322 0.32)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.326 -0.33)41.77% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.285 -0.29)78.23% (0.288 0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)5.55% (0.043 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.4% (-0.122 -0.12)21.6% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 8.39%
    Bayern Munich 78.53%
    Draw 13.08%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 5.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.08%
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 9.34% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 8.15% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.75% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 5.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-6 @ 1.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 78.53%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

Augsburg
9.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bayern Munich
80.3%
76
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
5-2
Augsburg
Gouweleeuw (9' og.), Gnabry (23'), Kimmich (33'), Coman (43'), Lewandowski (90')
Hernandez (83')
Hahn (67'), Niederlechner (72')
Suchy (69')
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Manchester CityMan City28204471264564
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle271311341192250
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs29155953411250
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd2715574137450
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton27137751341746
7Aston Villa29135113940-144
8Liverpool28127948331543
9Brentford28101354637943
10Fulham28116113939039
11Chelsea29109102930-139
12Crystal Palace2979132439-1530
13Leeds UnitedLeeds2978143849-1129
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2977152342-1928
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2776142534-927
16Everton2969142341-1827
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2969142452-2827
18Bournemouth2976162757-3027
19Leicester CityLeicester2974184051-1125
20Southampton2965182347-2423

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