Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 91.68%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 2.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.63%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.89%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (0.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.