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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.72%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
10.26% | 15.02% | 74.72% |
Both teams to score 55.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.82% | 31.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.39% | 52.61% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% | 77.39% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.96% | 7.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.28% | 25.72% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.06% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.21% 2-0 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.26% | 1-1 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.06% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.02% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 5.94% 1-4 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 3.59% 0-5 @ 3.15% 1-5 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.27% 1-6 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.8% Total : 74.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 52 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 |
5 | Freiburg | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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