Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
