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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
35.81% | 27.97% | 36.22% |
Both teams to score 47.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.88% | 58.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% | 78.78% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% | 66.91% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 27 | 45 | 52 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 48 |
4 | Freiburg | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 46 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 40 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 37 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 31 |
12 | Augsburg | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 28 |
13 | FC Koln | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 25 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 21 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 21 |
18 | Stuttgart | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
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