Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.