Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
41.41% | 25.95% | 32.63% |
Both teams to score 53.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.52% | 72.47% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% | 24.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% | 58.48% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% | 29.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% | 65.14% |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 66 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 44 |
6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
8 | Brentford | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Aston Villa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 27 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
18 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
20 | Southampton | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 22 |
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