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Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK at Falmer Stadium
Brighton
2 - 2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton

Both of these sides will be determined to bounce back from midweek defeats, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Brighton are in the better form, but they have only won three home Premier League matches this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
45.93%25.79%28.28%
Both teams to score 52.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%56%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.92%
    Southampton 28.29%
    Draw 25.78%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
58.3%
Draw
27.8%
Southampton
13.9%
144
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
OT
Buccaneers
19-16
Cardinals
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal15131136122440
2Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1696132112133
3Manchester CityMan City14102240142632
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs1693433231030
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd148242020026
6Liverpool1574431181325
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton157352620624
8Fulham166462726122
9Chelsea146351717021
10Brentford164842527-220
11Crystal Palace155461521-619
12Aston Villa165381725-818
13Leicester CityLeicester165292528-317
14Bournemouth154471832-1416
15Leeds UnitedLeeds144372226-415
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham1642101320-714
17Everton163581219-714
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves163491025-1513
19Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481130-1913
20Southampton1633101430-1612

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