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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City
Burton Albion
3 - 0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Diamond (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Lincoln City

Burton have failed to win their last seven league games, but after drawing four of their previous five matches in League One, we think that they will hold Lincoln to a draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
44.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 25.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 30.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)51.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 44.04%
    Lincoln City 30.05%
    Draw 25.89%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
19.4%
Draw
41.7%
Lincoln City
38.9%
36
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
3-2
Burton Albion
Hopper (21', 38')
Bostwick (61')
Powell (6', 30')
O'Toole (61'), Buxton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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