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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Burton Albion |
60.11% ( 0.56) | 22.08% ( 0.24) | 17.81% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -2.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( -2.3) | 47% ( 2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -2.19) | 69.24% ( 2.18) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0.59) | 15.21% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.14% ( -1.12) | 43.86% ( 1.12) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( -2.28) | 40.06% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( -2.15) | 76.71% ( 2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
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