Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Woking would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Woking |
23.2% ( 2.11) | 24.83% ( 0.8) | 51.97% ( -2.91) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( -1) | 51.58% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( -0.88) | 73.37% ( 0.87) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.94% ( 1.49) | 37.06% ( -1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( 1.45) | 73.85% ( -1.45) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% ( -1.52) | 19.83% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.09% ( -2.51) | 51.91% ( 2.51) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Woking |
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 74 | 27 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Wrexham | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 72 | 24 | 48 | 68 |
3 | Woking | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 53 |
4 | Chesterfield | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 52 |
5 | Barnet | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 50 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
9 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | York City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 28 |
21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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