Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
34.51% ( 0.02) | 25.1% ( 0.01) | 40.39% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.62% ( -0.05) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% ( -0.05) | 68.66% ( 0.05) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.01) | 26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.02) | 61.02% ( 0.01) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% ( -0.04) | 22.83% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( -0.06) | 56.55% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 74 |
2 | Wrexham | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 71 |
3 | Woking | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 57 |
4 | Barnet | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 53 |
5 | Chesterfield | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 43 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
9 | Bromley | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Eastleigh | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 37 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 31 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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