Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.