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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnsley |
33.25% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( 0) | 41.38% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.81% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( -0.01) | 47.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.92% ( -0.01) | 70.08% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% ( 0.01) | 63.01% ( -0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% ( -0.03) | 56.82% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Port Vale | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 36 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 25 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
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