Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
49.19% ( -0) | 23.41% | 27.39% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0) | 41.95% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0) | 64.35% ( -0) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( -0) | 17.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% | 47.51% ( -0) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( 0) | 28.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% ( 0) | 64.2% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 80 | 29 | 51 | 77 |
2 | Wrexham | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 72 |
3 | Woking | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 53 |
5 | Barnet | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Bromley | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 44 |
9 | Eastleigh | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 38 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
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