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Gateshead
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
Stevenage
Gateshead
2 - 3
Stevenage
Harris (53'), Conteh (62')
Mills (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Roberts (21'), Richardson (34' og.), Norris (72')
Gilbey (79')
Roberts (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Gateshead and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gateshead 0-2 Stevenage

Stevenage head coach Evans is set to make a number of changes to his starting XI for this match, but we are still expecting the visitors to be too strong, backing them to advance to the second round of the competition courtesy of a 2-0 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawStevenage
29.67% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.28% (0.0030000000000001 0) 46.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.91% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)44.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)66.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)28.11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)63.79% (0.064 0.06)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 29.68%
    Stevenage 46.04%
    Draw 24.27%
GatesheadDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.68%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 46.04%

How you voted: Gateshead vs Stevenage

Gateshead
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
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2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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