Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
57.29% ( 0.24) | 21.49% ( -0.16) | 21.22% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.7% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.61% ( 0.62) | 39.38% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% ( 0.65) | 61.72% ( -0.65) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.42% ( 0.28) | 13.57% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.32% ( 0.56) | 40.68% ( -0.56) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( 0.27) | 32.08% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( 0.31) | 68.55% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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