Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
32.51% | 27.48% | 40% |
Both teams to score 48.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.31% | 56.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% | 77.64% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.63% | 32.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.12% | 68.88% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% | 27.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% | 63.29% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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