Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
