Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Platense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Platense had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
