Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
