Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
