Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
