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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
72.03% | 16.22% | 11.75% |
Both teams to score 55.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.19% | 32.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.49% | 54.5% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.03% | 7.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.88% | 28.12% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.6% | 39.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.9% | 76.1% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 7.89% 4-0 @ 5.36% 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.68% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 1.14% 6-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.34% Total : 72.03% | 1-1 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.36% 0-0 @ 3.14% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.22% | 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-1 @ 2.92% 0-2 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 11.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 38 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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