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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
78.51% | 13.96% | 7.53% |
Both teams to score 46.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.21% | 35.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.12% | 57.88% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.69% | 7.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.57% | 26.43% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.92% | 50.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.29% | 84.71% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 12.52% 3-0 @ 10.92% 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 7.15% 4-1 @ 4.94% 5-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.76% Total : 78.5% | 1-1 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.66% 2-2 @ 3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 13.96% | 0-1 @ 2.53% 1-2 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.71% Total : 7.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
2 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
16 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |