Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
44.25% ( 0.15) | 24.21% ( -0.07) | 31.54% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% ( 0.28) | 43.19% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% ( 0.27) | 65.59% ( -0.27) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( 0.18) | 19.7% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% ( 0.29) | 51.7% ( -0.28) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( 0.09) | 26.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.11) | 61.4% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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