Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
30.47% | 28.15% | 41.38% |
Both teams to score 46.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% | 59.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% | 79.96% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% | 72.15% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.11% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 55 |
5 | Villarreal | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 50 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 43 |
10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 |
14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 35 |
15 | Almeria | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
16 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 33 |
17 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 |
18 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
19 | Espanyol | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 28 |
20 | ElcheElche | 31 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 62 | -42 | 13 |
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