Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.85%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.