Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - July 31, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 31, 2022 at 10am UK at IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shirasaki (62'), Kitagawa (81'), Thiago (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Iwasaki (4'), Naganuma (30'), Horigome (80')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Sagan Tosu
30.36%	27.74%	41.89%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8%

58.2% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84% (

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3%

34.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.42% (

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

27.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13%

62.87% (

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 30.36%

Sagan Tosu 41.89%

Draw 27.73%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.89%