Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.04%) and 0-3 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
11.4% | 22.04% | 66.56% |
Both teams to score 36.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.69% | 58.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.07% | 78.93% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.64% | 56.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.33% | 88.67% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% | 47.01% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.48% 2-1 @ 2.79% 2-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.4% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 16.94% 0-2 @ 15.04% 0-3 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-4 @ 3.95% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 28 |
2 | GironaGirona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Barcelona | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
8 | Valencia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
11 | Osasuna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Sevilla | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
15 | Villarreal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Mallorca | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
18 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
19 | Granada | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 6 |
20 | Almeria | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |