Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.