The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 45% | 27.21% | 27.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
