Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.24%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
