Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
65.24% | 21.81% | 12.95% |
Both teams to score 40.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.52% | 54.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% | 75.85% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% | 16.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.58% | 45.43% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.68% | 51.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.44% | 85.56% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 15.07% 2-0 @ 13.78% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 5.61% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 65.23% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.27% Total : 12.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
14 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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