Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
47.02% | 27.02% | 25.97% |
Both teams to score 46.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.35% | 57.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% | 24.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% | 59.02% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% | 37.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% | 74.71% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
4 | Osasuna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Espanyol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
15 | Real Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
16 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
17 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | ElcheElche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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