Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.