The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.04% | 25.51% | 48.45% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
