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Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Saputo Stadium
Montreal
4 - 0
New England
Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
Corbo (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (88')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-3 Montreal
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 New England
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 New England Revolution

Both of these teams have been vulnerable on the back end, though we are giving Montreal the edge as they have found a way to overcome that deficiency throughout the campaign, plus they will have a few more days rest in between games compared to the Revs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew England Revolution
55.41% (2.016 2.02) 22.63% (-0.411 -0.41) 21.96% (-1.603 -1.6)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.722 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)43.65% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (0.032000000000004 0.03)66.04% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (0.705 0.7)15.62% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (1.296 1.3)44.62% (-1.295 -1.3)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-1.418 -1.42)33.8% (1.419 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (-1.568 -1.57)70.46% (1.568 1.57)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 55.41%
    New England Revolution 21.96%
    Draw 22.63%
CF MontrealDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.416 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.386 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.155 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.237 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.96%

How you voted: Montreal vs New England

CF Montreal
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
New England Revolution
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
1-4
New England
Torres (32')
Piette (27'), Miller (90')
Jones (10'), Buksa (17'), Camacho (30' og.), Bou (86')
Bou (58'), Caicedo (90+2')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Bou (29', 73')
McNamara (90+1'), Camilo Mafla Rebellon (90+5')
Nov 20, 2020 11.30pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Gil (38'), Bou (90+5')
Bou (6'), McNamara (20')
Quioto (61')
Corrales (43')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
New England
Sejdic (27'), Tabla (90+2')
Binks (83')
Manneh (13'), Bunbury (20'), Buksa (53')
Buksa (57'), McNamara (87')
Sep 23, 2020 10pm
New England
3-1
Montreal
Kessler (45+2'), Bou (49'), Fagundez (66')
Farrell (41')
Lappalainen (86')
Binks (53')
rhs 2.0
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