Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
15.07% | 25.23% | 59.7% |
Both teams to score 37.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.66% | 62.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.01% | 81.99% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.15% | 52.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.45% | 86.55% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% | 53.81% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.09% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.2% Total : 15.07% | 0-0 @ 11.1% 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 17.32% 0-2 @ 13.51% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
3 | Real Madrid | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 68 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 61 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 54 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 47 |
8 | GironaGirona | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 44 |
9 | Osasuna | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 44 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
11 | Sevilla | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 41 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
14 | Almeria | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 35 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
18 | Getafe | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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